ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ADEA // Adeia Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001803696 ↗
Communication Services • Cable & Other Pay Television Services
$22.48 ▼ -0.27 (-1.19%)
MKT CAP: $2.48B • VOL: 625.7K
ADEA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
66 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -25.8% vs NI +71.9% • ROIC-WACC +9.3% • Z 4.03
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.3% • P/E 18.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did ADEA's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ADEA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ADEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $21.61H $22.48L $20.70C $22.48VOL 1.40M
RES: $24.22SUP: $19.13SMA50: $24.40SMA200: $25.61
$35.49$30.72$25.96$21.19$16.42RES $24.22SUP $19.13$22.482026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ADEA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 17.2% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Cable & Other Pay Television Services), balanced against a 15.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 39.5% operating margin and 17.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 17.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +17.9% paired with 6.30% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +17.9% // FCF YLD: 6.30%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.03 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.3x trailing P/E (18.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.3x // EV/EBITDA: 15.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.48 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Cable & Other Pay Television Services require continuous execution to defend 25.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 25.1% // D/E: 0.83x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.3x
FORWARD P/E 18.7x
EV / EBITDA 15.9x
FCF YIELD 6.30%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 39.5%
NET MARGIN 25.1%
ROIC % 17.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +17.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.01
DEBT / EQUITY 0.83x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.88%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ADEAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>