ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ACCO // Acco Brands Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000712034 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Publishing
$4.36 ▼ -0.02 (-0.46%)
MKT CAP: $402.5M • VOL: 850.6K
ACCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 62/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 72% • VS 200D +7.9% • RSI 54
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +17.1% • P/E 9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ACCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.97H $5.50L $4.36C $4.36VOL 5.46M
RES: $5.43SUP: $4.32SMA50: $4.38SMA200: $3.96
$5.66$4.99$4.31$3.64$2.96RES $5.43SUP $4.32$4.362026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ACCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Acco Brands Corporation (ACCO) exhibits 32.8% gross margins and 5.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Publishing), balanced against a 13.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 32.8% gross profitability converts into 6.1% operating margin and 5.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.0% // GM: 32.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -8.5% paired with 17.07% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -8.5% // FCF YLD: 17.07%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.70 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.70 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 9.7x trailing P/E (9.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 9.7x // EV/EBITDA: 13.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.36 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Publishing require continuous execution to defend 2.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.7% // D/E: 1.21x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 9.7x
FORWARD P/E 9.0x
EV / EBITDA 13.1x
FCF YIELD 17.07%
GROSS MARGIN 32.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.1%
NET MARGIN 2.7%
ROIC % 5.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -8.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.45
DEBT / EQUITY 1.21x
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.71%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 77.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ACCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $3.99
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>