COMP <GO>
HCC vs BTU // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
Warrior Met Coal Inc. (NYSE) VS. Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: HCC 8
— BTU 1
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $85.62 (+2.63%) • MKT CAP: $4.52B
valuation
46.5x
LAST: $22.23 (-1.24%) • MKT CAP: $2.71B
valuation
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (HCC VS. BTU)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | HCC | BTU | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 22.40% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 1.80% | -2.10% | +3.90 | HCC | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | 46.5x | — | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.81% | -2.87% | +6.68 | HCC | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 3.60% | -2.10% | +5.70 | HCC | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.50% | — | — | TIE | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 14.30% | -8.90% | +23.20 | HCC | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.39% | 1.35% | -0.96 | BTU | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 5.92 | 1.83 | +4.09 | HCC | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 2/9 | +5.00 | HCC | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 43.8 | 36.0 | +7.76 | HCC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.02 | — | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 66.6x | — | — | TIE | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $4.52B | $2.71B | $1.81B | HCC | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | HCC REV | BTU REV | HCC GROSS % | BTU GROSS % | HCC FCF | BTU FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0 | $3.86B | — | — | $229.2M | -$77.7M |
| FY 2024 | $0 | $4.24B | — | — | $367.4M | $205.2M |
| FY 2023 | $0 | $4.95B | — | — | $701.1M | $1.04B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
HCC // BETA 1.02
BTU // BETA —