COMP <GO>
GEO vs GRBK // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
Geo Group Inc (NYSE) VS. Green Brick Partners Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: GEO 4
— GRBK 5
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $28.54 (+3.52%) • MKT CAP: $3.76B
valuation
12.5x
LAST: $62.53 (-0.62%) • MKT CAP: $2.65B
valuation
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (GEO VS. GRBK)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | GEO | GRBK | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | 31.40% | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.60% | 18.50% | -11.90 | GRBK | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | 12.5x | — | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -3.32% | 7.86% | -11.18 | GRBK | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 9.80% | — | — | TIE | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.70% | 16.80% | -7.10 | GRBK | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.60% | -1.00% | +9.60 | GEO | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.11% | -0.11 | GRBK | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | — | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 5/9 | 4/9 | +1.00 | GEO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 45.3 | 38.9 | +6.44 | GEO | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | — | — | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 13.8x | 7.2x | +6.60 | GRBK | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $3.76B | $2.65B | $1.10B | GEO | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | GEO REV | GRBK REV | GEO GROSS % | GRBK GROSS % | GEO FCF | GRBK FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.63B | $2.04B | — | 31.4% | -$124.9M | $208.4M |
| FY 2024 | $2.42B | $2.06B | — | 34.1% | $163.5M | $21.5M |
| FY 2023 | $2.41B | $1.75B | — | — | $277.8M | $213.3M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
GEO // BETA —
GRBK // BETA —