COMP <GO>
NSC vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: NSC 3
— UNP 11
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: NSC
LAST: $342.64 (+0.13%) • MKT CAP: $76.86B
options-implied-move
6.80%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (NSC VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | NSC | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 13.00% | 20.10% | -7.10 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 14.1x | 15.3x | -1.20 | NSC | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.81% | 3.06% | -0.25 | UNP | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 35.80% | 40.20% | -4.40 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 23.60% | 29.10% | -5.50 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 0.50% | 1.10% | -0.60 | UNP | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 1.58% | 1.80% | -0.22 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 2.53 | 4.31 | -1.78 | UNP | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 6/9 | +1.00 | NSC | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.80% | 7.00% | -0.20 | NSC | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 67.1 | 70.0 | -2.89 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.96 | 1.03 | -0.07 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 24.9x | 23.3x | +1.60 | UNP | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $76.86B | $179.42B | -$102.56B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | NSC REV | UNP REV | NSC GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | NSC FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $12.18B | $24.51B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $2.16B | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $12.12B | $24.25B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $1.67B | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $12.16B | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $2.63B | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
NSC // BETA 0.96
UNP // BETA 1.03