COMP <GO>
VST vs DUK // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Vistra Corp. (NYSE) VS. Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: VST 6
— DUK 8
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: DUK
LAST: $138.37 (-1.83%) • MKT CAP: $47.31B
macro-sensitivity
0.57
LAST: $127.39 (+1.18%) • MKT CAP: $98.16B
macro-sensitivity
0.76
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (VST VS. DUK)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | VST | DUK | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 7.70% | 5.20% | +2.50 | VST | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 14.6x | 8.7x | +5.90 | DUK | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.79% | -1.73% | +4.52 | VST | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 10.80% | 31.40% | -20.60 | DUK | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.40% | 18.10% | -12.70 | DUK | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 19.10% | 3.30% | +15.80 | VST | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.65% | 3.40% | -2.75 | DUK | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.28 | 0.89 | +0.39 | VST | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 5/9 | +1.00 | VST | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 5.40% | 6.10% | -0.70 | VST | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 42.0 | 69.7 | -27.67 | DUK | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 0.57 | 0.76 | -0.19 | DUK | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 42.1x | 18.4x | +23.70 | DUK | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $47.31B | $98.16B | -$50.86B | DUK | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | VST REV | DUK REV | VST GROSS % | DUK GROSS % | VST FCF | DUK FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $17.59B | $0 | 44.0% | — | $1.32B | -$1.69B |
| FY 2024 | $14.76B | $0 | 44.0% | — | $2.48B | $48.0M |
| FY 2023 | $13.80B | $0 | 44.0% | — | $4.83B | $9.88B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
VST // BETA 0.57
DUK // BETA 0.76