COMP <GO>
VMI vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Valmont Industries Inc. (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: VMI 5
— UNP 10
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: VMI
LAST: $422.10 (-2.46%) • MKT CAP: $8.28B
options-implied-move
6.60%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (VMI VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | VMI | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 30.20% | 41.00% | -10.80 | UNP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 14.70% | 20.10% | -5.40 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 16.5x | 15.3x | +1.20 | UNP | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.76% | 3.06% | +0.70 | VMI | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 10.10% | 40.20% | -30.10 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 8.50% | 29.10% | -20.60 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 0.70% | 1.10% | -0.40 | UNP | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.63% | 1.80% | -1.17 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 6.17 | 4.31 | +1.86 | VMI | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 6/9 | +1.00 | VMI | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.60% | 7.00% | -0.40 | VMI | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 30.1 | 70.0 | -39.93 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.90 | 1.03 | -0.13 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 21.9x | 23.3x | -1.40 | VMI | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $8.28B | $179.42B | -$171.14B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | VMI REV | UNP REV | VMI GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | VMI FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4.10B | $24.51B | 30.2% | 44.0% | $311.4M | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $4.08B | $24.25B | 30.5% | 44.0% | $493.2M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $4.17B | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $118.9M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
VMI // BETA 0.90
UNP // BETA 1.03