COMP <GO>
SPOT vs NFLX // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE) VS. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: SPOT 2
— NFLX 11
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: SPOT
LAST: $593.44 (+6.50%) • MKT CAP: $117.43B
options-implied-move
6.70%
LAST: $62.08 (+0.05%) • MKT CAP: $254.92B
options-implied-move
7.26%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (SPOT VS. NFLX)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | SPOT | NFLX | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 50.68% | -9.68 | NFLX | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.90% | 33.94% | -24.04 | NFLX | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 21.0x | 16.2x | +4.80 | NFLX | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.21% | 4.46% | -2.25 | NFLX | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.90% | 31.30% | -17.40 | NFLX | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.90% | 29.69% | -18.79 | NFLX | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -3.30% | 14.65% | -17.95 | NFLX | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.74 | 8.25 | -4.51 | NFLX | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 7/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.70% | 7.26% | -0.56 | SPOT | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 65.2 | 30.6 | +34.62 | SPOT | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.94 | 1.41 | -0.47 | NFLX | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 30.5x | 19.2x | +11.29 | NFLX | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $117.43B | $254.92B | -$137.49B | NFLX | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | SPOT REV | NFLX REV | SPOT GROSS % | NFLX GROSS % | SPOT FCF | NFLX FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | — | $45.18B | — | 48.5% | — | $9.46B |
| FY 2024 | — | $39.00B | — | 46.1% | — | $6.92B |
| FY 2023 | — | $33.72B | — | 41.5% | — | $6.93B |
| FY 2022 | — | $31.62B | — | 39.4% | — | $1.62B |
| FY 2021 | — | $29.70B | — | 41.6% | — | -$132.0M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
SPOT // BETA 0.94
NFLX // BETA 1.41