COMP <GO>
SERV vs UNP // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
Serve Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: SERV 3
— UNP 11
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $2.60 (-8.45%) • MKT CAP: $246.2M
valuation
—
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
valuation
15.3x
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (SERV VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | SERV | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | -30.00% | 41.00% | -71.00 | UNP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -35.00% | 20.10% | -55.10 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | — | 15.3x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -18.00% | 3.06% | -21.06 | UNP | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | -60.00% | 40.20% | -100.20 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | -60.00% | 29.10% | -89.10 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 46.20% | 1.10% | +45.10 | SERV | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 1.80% | -1.80 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 7.63 | 4.31 | +3.32 | SERV | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 4/9 | 6/9 | -2.00 | UNP | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 6.60% | 7.00% | -0.40 | SERV | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 26.9 | 70.0 | -43.14 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.90 | 1.03 | -0.13 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 24.0x | 23.3x | +0.70 | UNP | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $246.2M | $179.42B | -$179.18B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | SERV REV | UNP REV | SERV GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | SERV FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.7M | $24.51B | -580.2% | 44.0% | -$117.6M | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $1.8M | $24.25B | -4.1% | 44.0% | -$31.8M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $207.5K | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | -$16.0M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
SERV // BETA 0.90
UNP // BETA 1.03