COMP <GO>
ODFL vs CAT // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ODFL 6
— CAT 9
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: ODFL
LAST: $172.56 (+0.12%) • MKT CAP: $35.74B
options-implied-move
6.50%
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
options-implied-move
8.46%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ODFL VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ODFL | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 82.20% | -41.20 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 25.50% | 21.15% | +4.35 | ODFL | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 20.4x | 20.9x | -0.46 | ODFL | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.57% | 3.74% | -1.17 | CAT | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.60% | 17.52% | -3.92 | CAT | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.20% | 14.51% | -4.31 | CAT | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 11.00% | 18.36% | -7.36 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.66% | 1.05% | -0.39 | CAT | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 22.23 | 4.34 | +17.89 | ODFL | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 5/9 | +3.00 | ODFL | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.50% | 8.46% | -1.96 | ODFL | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 36.6 | 23.6 | +13.02 | ODFL | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.89 | 1.02 | -0.13 | CAT | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 32.5x | 26.0x | +6.54 | CAT | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $35.74B | $286.26B | -$250.52B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ODFL REV | CAT REV | ODFL GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | ODFL FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0 | $67.59B | — | 99.9% | $1.37B | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $0 | $64.81B | — | 100.0% | $1.66B | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $0 | $67.06B | — | 99.8% | $1.57B | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ODFL // BETA 0.89
CAT // BETA 1.02