COMP <GO>
ETSY vs MA // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Etsy Inc. (NYSE) VS. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ETSY 3
— MA 12
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: ETSY
LAST: $88.96 (-2.87%) • MKT CAP: $7.90B
macro-sensitivity
1.11
LAST: $638.01 (+0.36%) • MKT CAP: $556.88B
macro-sensitivity
0.90
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ETSY VS. MA)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ETSY | MA | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 71.60% | 41.00% | +30.60 | ETSY | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 33.30% | 33.50% | -0.20 | MA | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 29.3x | 29.2x | +0.10 | MA | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 8.59% | 3.08% | +5.51 | ETSY | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 9.20% | 57.60% | -48.40 | MA | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.70% | 45.60% | -39.90 | MA | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 2.70% | 16.40% | -13.70 | MA | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.49% | -0.49 | MA | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.60 | 11.17 | -9.57 | MA | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 8/9 | -1.00 | MA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 7.30% | 6.60% | +0.70 | MA | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 60.6 | 70.6 | -10.05 | MA | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 1.11 | 0.90 | +0.21 | ETSY | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 45.0x | 31.2x | +13.80 | MA | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $7.90B | $556.88B | -$548.98B | MA | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ETSY REV | MA REV | ETSY GROSS % | MA GROSS % | ETSY FCF | MA FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.88B | $32.79B | 71.6% | 44.0% | $678.0M | $17.16B |
| FY 2024 | $2.81B | $28.17B | 72.4% | 44.0% | $738.3M | $14.31B |
| FY 2023 | $2.75B | $25.10B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $581.8M | $10.85B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ETSY // BETA 1.11
MA // BETA 0.90