COMP <GO>
DOV vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Dover Corporation (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: DOV 5
— UNP 10
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: DOV
LAST: $207.74 (-1.25%) • MKT CAP: $27.98B
options-implied-move
6.70%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (DOV VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | DOV | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 39.80% | 41.00% | -1.20 | UNP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 12.90% | 20.10% | -7.20 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 18.6x | 15.3x | +3.30 | UNP | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.67% | 3.06% | +0.61 | DOV | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 17.00% | 40.20% | -23.20 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 13.50% | 29.10% | -15.60 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.50% | 1.10% | +3.40 | DOV | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 1.01% | 1.80% | -0.79 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 5.21 | 4.31 | +0.90 | DOV | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 6/9 | +2.00 | DOV | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.70% | 7.00% | -0.30 | DOV | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 67.5 | 70.0 | -2.48 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.93 | 1.03 | -0.10 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 23.8x | 23.3x | +0.50 | UNP | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $27.98B | $179.42B | -$151.44B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | DOV REV | UNP REV | DOV GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | DOV FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $8.09B | $24.51B | 39.8% | 44.0% | $1.00B | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $7.75B | $24.25B | 38.2% | 44.0% | $2.85B | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $7.68B | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $990.5M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
DOV // BETA 0.93
UNP // BETA 1.03