COMP <GO>
CRCL vs MS // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE) VS. Morgan Stanley (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: CRCL 4
— MS 9
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: MS
LAST: $72.54 (-9.31%) • MKT CAP: $20.31B
options-implied-move
7.20%
LAST: $184.30 (-3.00%) • MKT CAP: $298.41B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (CRCL VS. MS)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | CRCL | MS | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -0.20% | 3.00% | -3.20 | MS | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | 31.0x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.61% | -7.25% | +9.86 | CRCL | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | -60.00% | 24.60% | -84.60 | MS | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | -60.00% | 20.20% | -80.20 | MS | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 180.00% | 5.50% | +174.50 | CRCL | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 2.21% | -2.21 | MS | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 0.45 | 0.46 | -0.01 | MS | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 5/9 | +1.00 | CRCL | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 7.20% | 7.00% | +0.20 | MS | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 37.0 | 43.3 | -6.34 | MS | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.10 | 1.04 | +0.06 | CRCL | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 34.0x | 16.5x | +17.50 | MS | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $20.31B | $298.41B | -$278.10B | MS | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | CRCL REV | MS REV | CRCL GROSS % | MS GROSS % | CRCL FCF | MS FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $109.8M | $0 | 44.0% | — | $529.7M | -$17.89B |
| FY 2024 | $15.2M | $0 | 44.0% | — | $326.4M | $1.36B |
| FY 2023 | $19.9M | $0 | 44.0% | — | $138.7M | -$33.54B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
CRCL // BETA 1.10
MS // BETA 1.04