COMP <GO>
CMI vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Cummins Inc. (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: CMI 5
— UNP 9
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: UNP
LAST: $500.09 (-3.46%) • MKT CAP: $71.31B
options-implied-move
7.10%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (CMI VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | CMI | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 25.30% | 41.00% | -15.70 | UNP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 17.50% | 20.10% | -2.60 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 15.2x | 15.3x | -0.10 | CMI | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.35% | 3.06% | +0.29 | CMI | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 12.00% | 40.20% | -28.20 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.30% | 29.10% | -19.80 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -1.30% | 1.10% | -2.40 | UNP | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 1.48% | 1.80% | -0.32 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 4.65 | 4.31 | +0.34 | CMI | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 6/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 7.10% | 7.00% | +0.10 | UNP | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 36.2 | 70.0 | -33.81 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.05 | 1.03 | +0.02 | CMI | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 21.1x | 23.3x | -2.20 | CMI | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $71.31B | $179.42B | -$108.11B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | CMI REV | UNP REV | CMI GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | CMI FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $33.67B | $24.51B | 25.3% | 44.0% | $2.39B | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $34.10B | $24.25B | 24.7% | 44.0% | $279.0M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $34.06B | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $2.43B | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
CMI // BETA 1.05
UNP // BETA 1.03