COMP <GO>
CHDN vs MA // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ) VS. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: CHDN 5
— MA 8
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: MA
LAST: $94.83 (+4.03%) • MKT CAP: $6.25B
options-implied-move
6.70%
LAST: $638.01 (+0.36%) • MKT CAP: $556.88B
options-implied-move
6.60%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (CHDN VS. MA)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | CHDN | MA | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.20% | 33.50% | -24.30 | MA | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 14.0x | 29.2x | -15.20 | CHDN | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 4.88% | 3.08% | +1.80 | CHDN | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 23.40% | 57.60% | -34.20 | MA | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 13.10% | 45.60% | -32.50 | MA | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.00% | 16.40% | -9.40 | MA | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.42 | 11.17 | -9.75 | MA | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 8/9 | -2.00 | MA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.70% | 6.60% | +0.10 | MA | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 73.2 | 70.6 | +2.55 | CHDN | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.93 | 0.90 | +0.03 | CHDN | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 15.2x | 31.2x | -16.00 | CHDN | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $6.25B | $556.88B | -$550.63B | MA | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | CHDN REV | MA REV | CHDN GROSS % | MA GROSS % | CHDN FCF | MA FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.93B | $32.79B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $297.3M | $17.16B |
| FY 2024 | $2.73B | $28.17B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $355.0M | $14.31B |
| FY 2023 | $2.46B | $25.10B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $356.6M | $10.85B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
CHDN // BETA 0.93
MA // BETA 0.90