COMP <GO>
AA vs CAT // DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY
Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (NYSE) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: AA 6
— CAT 9
▲ DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY LEADER: CAT
LAST: $39.19 (-1.75%) • MKT CAP: $10.53B
dividend-safety
0.99%
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
dividend-safety
1.05%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (AA VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | AA | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 82.20% | -41.20 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 15.90% | 21.15% | -5.25 | CAT | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 5.9x | 20.9x | -14.96 | AA | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.39% | 3.74% | +1.65 | AA | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 11.00% | 17.52% | -6.52 | CAT | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.00% | 14.51% | -5.51 | CAT | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.90% | 18.36% | -10.46 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety ACTIVE | 0.99% | 1.05% | -0.06 | CAT | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.82 | 4.34 | -2.52 | CAT | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 9/9 | 5/9 | +4.00 | AA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 6.80% | 8.46% | -1.66 | AA | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 37.4 | 23.6 | +13.76 | AA | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.96 | 1.02 | -0.06 | CAT | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 8.5x | 26.0x | -17.46 | AA | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $10.53B | $286.26B | -$275.74B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | AA REV | CAT REV | AA GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | AA FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $12.83B | $67.59B | 44.0% | 99.9% | $567.0M | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $11.89B | $64.81B | 44.0% | 100.0% | $42.0M | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $10.55B | $67.06B | 44.0% | 99.8% | -$383.8M | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
AA // BETA 0.96
CAT // BETA 1.02