ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SFD // Smithfield Foods Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0000091388 ↗
Consumer Staples • Meat/Poultry/Fish
$18.55 ▲ +0.09 (+0.49%)
MKT CAP: $7.31B • VOL: 2.38M
SFD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -5.7% vs NI +3.6% • ROIC-WACC +4.9% • Z 3.15
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SFD's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SFD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SFD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $18.80H $18.91L $18.27C $18.34VOL 1.31M
RES: $19.26SUP: $17.44SMA50: $19.75SMA200: $24.03
$28.20$25.41$22.62$19.83$17.04RES $19.26SUP $17.44$18.342026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SFD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Smithfield Foods Inc. (SFD) exhibits 13.5% gross margins and 13.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Meat/Poultry/Fish), balanced against a 4.4x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 13.5% gross profitability converts into 8.3% operating margin and 13.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.1% // GM: 13.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.8% paired with 5.84% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.8% // FCF YLD: 5.84%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.15 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.15 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 7.4x trailing P/E (6.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 7.4x // EV/EBITDA: 4.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.68 put/call ratio around $18.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.68
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Meat/Poultry/Fish require continuous execution to defend 6.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.4% // D/E: 0.36x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.87).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 7.4x
FORWARD P/E 6.9x
EV / EBITDA 4.4x
FCF YIELD 5.84%
GROSS MARGIN 13.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.3%
NET MARGIN 6.4%
ROIC % 13.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.51
DEBT / EQUITY 0.36x
DIVIDEND YIELD 5.42%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.87
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SFDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $16.97
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SFD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>