ROARABLE // PRO
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SERV // Serve Robotics Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001832483 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$2.84 ▼ -0.18 (-5.96%)
MKT CAP: $246.2M • VOL: 3.71M
SERV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 57/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NET GEX +0% • CALL SWEEP 52% • P/C 1.03
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SERV's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SERV is Upgraded or Downgraded.
SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON SERV)
ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>
▼ BEARISH // F-RATED EARNINGS MIRAGE // ACCRUAL WATCHSIFTER 02 // ACCRUAL & RECEIVABLES FORENSICS
SEVERITY: 94/100 Z-SCORE: +3.88σ

SERV Receivables Bloat Hits +153.8% VS REV as Cash Conversion Gap Stalls at +0.0%

CASH CONVERSION GAP
+0.0% (NI vs OCF)
RECEIVABLES / WC BLOAT
+153.8% VS REV
60D C-SUITE FORM 4 SALES
0 OPEN-MKT DUMPS
[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // SEC XBRL × FORM 4 CROSS-CHECK]
SEC EDGAR XBRL CompanyFacts10-K/10-Q Working Capital ScheduleSEC Form 4 Executive Sales

Serve Robotics triggered an F-Rated Earnings Mirage alert with a multi-feed z-score of 3.88 across SEC EDGAR XBRL and working capital schedules. Balance sheet forensics reveal extreme working capital bloat, highlighted by receivables outpacing revenue at +153.8% while cash conversion gap sits at +0.0% alongside identical -120% NI and OCF growth. Although 60-day C-suite Form 4 sales show 0 open-market dumps ($0), the severe accrual distortion poses immediate positioning risks for institutional holders.

SERV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -72.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.75H $2.77L $2.53C $2.60VOL 3.60M
RES: $4.47SUP: $-0.52SMA50: $4.18SMA200: $7.26
$11.67$9.19$6.71$4.24$1.76RES $4.47SUP $-0.52$2.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SERV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 37/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) exhibits -30.0% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 6.6% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained -30.0% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: -30.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +46.2% paired with -18.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +46.2% // FCF YLD: -18.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.63 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.63 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (24.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.6% implied move with a 1.03 put/call ratio around $3.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.6% // P/C: 1.03
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.02x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 24.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -18.00%
GROSS MARGIN -30.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +46.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.17
DEBT / EQUITY 0.02x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 26.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SERVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SERV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.
HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>
SERV VS BRK-A
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION
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MARGINS ROIC VALUATION
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SERV VS TMO
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION