ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PSMT // PriceSmart Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001041803 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Department/Specialty Retail Stores
$165.14 ▲ +3.68 (+2.28%)
MKT CAP: $5.11B • VOL: 249.6K
PSMT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +164.2% vs NI +6.5% • ROIC-WACC +5.3% • Z 6.08
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did PSMT's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PSMT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PSMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $165.1H $166.5L $163.4C $165.7VOL 329.9K
RES: $176.7SUP: $161.0SMA50: $170.7SMA200: $166.5
$204.7$184.5$164.3$144.1$123.9RES $176.7SUP $161.0$165.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PSMT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) exhibits 17.4% gross margins and 14.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), balanced against a 13.7x enterprise multiple and 6.9% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.4% gross profitability converts into 4.4% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.8% // GM: 17.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.2% paired with 2.02% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.2% // FCF YLD: 2.02%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.08 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.08 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 34.5x trailing P/E (32.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 34.5x // EV/EBITDA: 13.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.9% implied move with a 0.74 put/call ratio around $162.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.9% // P/C: 0.74
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Department/Specialty Retail Stores require continuous execution to defend 2.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.8% // D/E: 0.11x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 32.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 34.5x
FORWARD P/E 32.1x
EV / EBITDA 13.7x
FCF YIELD 2.02%
GROSS MARGIN 17.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.4%
NET MARGIN 2.8%
ROIC % 14.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.78
DEBT / EQUITY 0.11x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.76%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PSMTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $151.11
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PSMT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>