ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MSA // MSA Safety Incorporated

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000066570 ↗
Health Care • Industrial Specialties
$179.16 ▲ +2.00 (+1.13%)
MKT CAP: $6.91B • VOL: 182.4K
MSA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> C+ (RQD 69)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +22% vs NI -2.1% • ROIC-WACC +8.6% • Z 5.83
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MSA's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MSA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MSA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $180.0H $181.1L $177.8C $178.6VOL 398.1K
RES: $183.9SUP: $176.4SMA50: $182.7SMA200: $178.0
$199.4$187.6$175.8$163.9$152.1RES $183.9SUP $176.4$178.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MSA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) exhibits 46.5% gross margins and 16.6% return on invested capital within Health Care (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 17.0x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 46.5% gross profitability converts into 19.8% operating margin and 16.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 16.6% // GM: 46.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.7% paired with 4.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.7% // FCF YLD: 4.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.83 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.83 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.8x trailing P/E (23.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.8x // EV/EBITDA: 17.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.65 put/call ratio around $176.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.65
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 14.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.9% // D/E: 0.42x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 23.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.87).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 24.8x
FORWARD P/E 23.1x
EV / EBITDA 17.0x
FCF YIELD 4.27%
GROSS MARGIN 46.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.8%
NET MARGIN 14.9%
ROIC % 16.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.23
DEBT / EQUITY 0.42x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.19%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.87
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MSAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $163.94
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MSA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>