ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

M // Macy's Inc

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000794367 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Department/Specialty Retail Stores
$24.72 ▲ +0.98 (+4.13%)
MKT CAP: $6.46B • VOL: 5.02M
M // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> C+ (RQD 69)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +39.1% vs NI +10.3% • ROIC-WACC +4% • Z 2.81
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did M's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever M is Upgraded or Downgraded.

M // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $24.71H $25.06L $23.80C $24.11VOL 5.56M
RES: $27.76SUP: $17.64SMA50: $22.79SMA200: $21.66
$27.20$24.68$22.17$19.66$17.15RES $27.76SUP $17.64$24.112026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
M // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Macy's Inc (M) exhibits 38.0% gross margins and 11.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), balanced against a 6.3x enterprise multiple and 6.7% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.0% gross profitability converts into 4.7% operating margin and 11.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 11.8% // GM: 38.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.4% paired with 16.37% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.4% // FCF YLD: 16.37%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.81 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.81 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.1x trailing P/E (9.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.1x // EV/EBITDA: 6.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.7% implied move with a 0.61 put/call ratio around $24.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.7% // P/C: 0.61
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Department/Specialty Retail Stores require continuous execution to defend 2.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.9% // D/E: 0.67x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.95).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.1x
FORWARD P/E 9.4x
EV / EBITDA 6.3x
FCF YIELD 16.37%
GROSS MARGIN 38.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.7%
NET MARGIN 2.9%
ROIC % 11.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.46
DEBT / EQUITY 0.67x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.05%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.95
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $22.62
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for M & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>