ROARABLE // PRO
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FLUT // Flutter Entertainment plc

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001635327 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$79.19 ▲ +0.66 (+0.84%)
MKT CAP: $13.87B • VOL: 1.16M
FLUT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 62/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NET GEX +0% • CALL SWEEP 52% • P/C 0.85
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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FLUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $79.50H $82.88L $78.27C $82.59VOL 2.36M
RES: $91.81SUP: $65.59SMA50: $87.07SMA200: $106.7
$215.9$177.0$138.2$99.35$60.50RES $91.81SUP $65.59$82.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
FLUT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) exhibits 45.2% gross margins and 0.1% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 7.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.2% gross profitability converts into 0.2% operating margin and 0.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.1% // GM: 45.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.4% paired with 7.78% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.4% // FCF YLD: 7.78%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.37 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.5% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $78.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.5% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend 0.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.2% // D/E: 1.35x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.19).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 185.0x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 7.78%
GROSS MARGIN 45.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.2%
NET MARGIN 0.2%
ROIC % 0.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.16
DEBT / EQUITY 1.35x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.19
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FLUTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $72.46
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>