ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FCNCA // First Citizens BancShares Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0000798941 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$2,382.50 ▲ +52.57 (+2.26%)
MKT CAP: $26.91B • VOL: 85.0K
FCNCA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -13.5% vs NI -20.6% • ROIC-WACC -6.6% • Z 0.45
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did FCNCA's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever FCNCA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

FCNCA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2,397.8H $2,400.0L $2,338.4C $2,352.6VOL 69.8K
RES: $2,443.3SUP: $2,007.4SMA50: $2,150.2SMA200: $2,062.8
$2,467.8$2,310.9$2,154.1$1,997.2$1,840.3RES $2,443.3SUP $2,007.4$2,352.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
FCNCA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

First Citizens BancShares Inc. (FCNCA) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 2.6% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 26.2x enterprise multiple and 7.2% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 28.2% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.6% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 8.22% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 8.22%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.45 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.45 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.2x trailing P/E (11.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.2x // EV/EBITDA: 26.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.2% implied move with a 0.77 put/call ratio around $2,335.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.2% // P/C: 0.77
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 23.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 23.1% // D/E: 3.92x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.2x
FORWARD P/E 11.3x
EV / EBITDA 26.2x
FCF YIELD 8.22%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 28.2%
NET MARGIN 23.1%
ROIC % 2.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $195.34
DEBT / EQUITY 3.92x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.60%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 68.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FCNCAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2,180.07
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FCNCA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>