ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EBAY // eBay Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001065088 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$121.19 ▲ +3.17 (+2.69%)
MKT CAP: $53.93B • VOL: 7.41M
EBAY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> C+ (RQD 69)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -26.7% vs NI +2.8% • ROIC-WACC +15.3% • Z 6.75
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did EBAY's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever EBAY is Upgraded or Downgraded.

EBAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $122.2H $123.1L $120.0C $121.6VOL 5.59M
RES: $125.7SUP: $94.51SMA50: $110.8SMA200: $104.0
$127.0$117.0$107.0$96.99$86.99RES $125.7SUP $94.51$121.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
EBAY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 58/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

eBay Inc. (EBAY) exhibits 71.5% gross margins and 22.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 21.1x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 71.5% gross profitability converts into 20.5% operating margin and 22.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 22.3% // GM: 71.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.9% paired with 2.66% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.9% // FCF YLD: 2.66%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.75 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.75 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.6x trailing P/E (24.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.6x // EV/EBITDA: 21.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.71 put/call ratio around $119.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.71
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 18.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 18.3% // D/E: 1.21x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.87).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.6x
FORWARD P/E 24.7x
EV / EBITDA 21.1x
FCF YIELD 2.66%
GROSS MARGIN 71.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 20.5%
NET MARGIN 18.3%
ROIC % 22.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.56
DEBT / EQUITY 1.21x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.98%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.87
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EBAYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $110.89
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EBAY & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>