ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DK // Delek US Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001694426 ↗
Energy • Integrated oil Companies
$71.10 ▲ +0.80 (+1.14%)
MKT CAP: $4.35B • VOL: 1.16M
DK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> C (RQD 65)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +101.3% vs NI +95.9% • ROIC-WACC -3.5% • Z 2.36
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did DK's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever DK is Upgraded or Downgraded.

DK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +57.91%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $71.35H $73.82L $71.25C $73.57VOL 1.25M
RES: $92.03SUP: $69.35SMA50: $74.02SMA200: $53.00
$85.66$71.62$57.57$43.53$29.48RES $92.03SUP $69.35$73.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
DK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 37/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Delek US Holdings Inc. (DK) exhibits 5.7% gross margins and 3.9% return on invested capital within Energy (Integrated oil Companies), balanced against a 9.3x enterprise multiple and 6.7% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 5.7% gross profitability converts into 2.8% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.9% // GM: 5.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -9.5% paired with 0.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -9.5% // FCF YLD: 0.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.36 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.36 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (27.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 9.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.7% implied move with a 0.65 put/call ratio around $70.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.7% // P/C: 0.65
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Integrated oil Companies require continuous execution to defend -0.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.2% // D/E: 0.91x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 27.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 27.0x
EV / EBITDA 9.3x
FCF YIELD 0.14%
GROSS MARGIN 5.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 2.8%
NET MARGIN -0.2%
ROIC % 3.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -9.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.37
DEBT / EQUITY 0.91x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.42%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $65.06
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>