ROARABLE // PRO
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CLF // Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000764065 ↗
Materials • Metal Mining
$14.26 ▲ +0.32 (+2.30%)
MKT CAP: $8.14B • VOL: 18.35M
CLF // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NET GEX +0% • CALL SWEEP 52% • P/C 0.65
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.71%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.07H $14.26L $13.80C $14.25VOL 14.70M
RES: $14.88SUP: $11.13SMA50: $12.39SMA200: $11.37
$15.50$13.69$11.89$10.08$8.28RES $14.88SUP $11.13$14.252026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CLF // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 31/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) exhibits -4.6% gross margins and -9.4% return on invested capital within Materials (Metal Mining), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 6.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained -4.6% gross profitability converts into -8.5% operating margin and -9.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -9.4% // GM: -4.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.0% paired with -12.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.0% // FCF YLD: -12.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.18 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.18 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (23.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.8% implied move with a 0.65 put/call ratio around $14.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.8% // P/C: 0.65
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Mining require continuous execution to defend -7.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -7.9% // D/E: 1.19x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 23.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 23.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -12.57%
GROSS MARGIN -4.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -8.5%
NET MARGIN -7.9%
ROIC % -9.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-2.59
DEBT / EQUITY 1.19x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CLFPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CLF & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>