ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CIEN // Ciena Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000936395 ↗
Utilities • Telecommunications Equipment
$349.45 ▼ -13.76 (-3.79%)
MKT CAP: $49.55B • VOL: 2.81M
CIEN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
66 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +76.1% vs NI +46.9% • ROIC-WACC -2.9% • Z 10.26
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did CIEN's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CIEN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CIEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $326.0H $332.7L $313.3C $320.7VOL 3.10M
RES: $446.7SUP: $293.6SMA50: $363.4SMA200: $405.0
$665.7$548.9$432.1$315.4$198.6RES $446.7SUP $293.6$320.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CIEN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ciena Corporation (CIEN) exhibits 42.0% gross margins and 3.9% return on invested capital within Utilities (Telecommunications Equipment), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 5.3% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 42.0% gross profitability converts into 4.1% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.9% // GM: 42.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.8% paired with 1.34% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.8% // FCF YLD: 1.34%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 10.26 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 10.26 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.3% implied move with a 1.07 put/call ratio around $342.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.3% // P/C: 1.07
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Telecommunications Equipment require continuous execution to defend 2.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.6% // D/E: 0.55x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.53).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 185.0x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 1.34%
GROSS MARGIN 42.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.1%
NET MARGIN 2.6%
ROIC % 3.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.87
DEBT / EQUITY 0.55x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.53
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CIENPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $319.76
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CIEN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>