ROARABLE // PRO
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ARM // Arm Holdings plc

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001973239 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$228.77 ▼ -7.13 (-3.02%)
MKT CAP: $243.42B • VOL: 4.66M
ARM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
66 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +14.1% • ROIC-WACC -6.3% • Z 26
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ARM's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ARM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ARM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $206.8H $209.0L $198.8C $206.0VOL 10.55M
RES: $368.8SUP: $84.89SMA50: $258.7SMA200: $228.9
$474.5$384.1$293.7$203.3$112.9RES $368.8SUP $84.89$206.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ARM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Arm Holdings plc (ARM) exhibits 96.0% gross margins and 3.7% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 7.4% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 96.0% gross profitability converts into 18.3% operating margin and 3.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.7% // GM: 96.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +22.8% paired with 0.40% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +22.8% // FCF YLD: 0.40%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 26.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 26.00 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.4% implied move with a 1.01 put/call ratio around $224.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.4% // P/C: 1.01
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 18.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 18.4% // D/E: 0.13x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.14).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 185.0x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 0.40%
GROSS MARGIN 96.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 18.3%
NET MARGIN 18.4%
ROIC % 3.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +22.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.85
DEBT / EQUITY 0.13x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 34.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.14
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ARMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $209.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ARM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>