ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALL // Allstate Corporation (The)

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000899051 ↗
Financials • Property-Casualty Insurers
$255.92 ▲ +5.72 (+2.29%)
MKT CAP: $64.71B • VOL: 1.22M
ALL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> C (RQD 65)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +13.3% vs NI +123.4% • ROIC-WACC +9.8% • Z 2.24
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ALL's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ALL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ALL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.61%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $261.1H $262.8L $259.3C $259.9VOL 1.52M
RES: $249.9SUP: $213.9SMA50: $245.4SMA200: $228.3
$282.5$260.7$239.0$217.2$195.5RES $249.9SUP $213.9$259.92026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ALL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Allstate Corporation (The) (ALL) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 18.2% return on invested capital within Financials (Property-Casualty Insurers), balanced against a 7.0x enterprise multiple and 6.6% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 18.3% operating margin and 18.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.2% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.6% paired with 15.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.6% // FCF YLD: 15.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.24 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.24 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 6.4x trailing P/E (6.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 6.4x // EV/EBITDA: 7.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.6% implied move with a 0.65 put/call ratio around $251.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.6% // P/C: 0.65
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Property-Casualty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 15.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.0% // D/E: 1.22x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.91).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 6.4x
FORWARD P/E 6.0x
EV / EBITDA 7.0x
FCF YIELD 15.27%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 18.3%
NET MARGIN 15.0%
ROIC % 18.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $40.20
DEBT / EQUITY 1.22x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.60%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 65.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.91
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $234.18
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ALL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>