CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 23h ago
Emerson Among 14 Dividend Growth Companies To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In First Half Of NovemberEmerson may extend its 70-year dividend growth streak as earnings rebound.
Why NWN Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$49.96 +0.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.95
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.10B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.96 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NWN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NWN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (19% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$47.73+2.6% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$48.99+1.8% Next Q
38
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$49.87+0.2% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$49.96-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NWN Turnaround Squeeze
While NWN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($48.64) and Max Pain ($52.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.79.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NWN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NWN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NWN Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) advanced +0.99% to $49.96, trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($44.45 – $55.99). Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($44.45 – $55.99) with RSI-14 at 60.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.5% around $49.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NWN Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
NW Natural vs. Middlesex Water: Which Dividend Is Safer for Retirement?A Pacific Northwest gas utility expanding into Texas squares off against a New Jersey water company staring down a quarter-billion-dollar cleanup bill, and for retirees living on dividends, picking the wrong one could co
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Broadcom upgraded, Ultragenyx downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst callsBroadcom upgraded, Ultragenyx downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 5d ago
Truist Securities Initiates Coverage On Northwest Natural Hldg with Hold Rating, Announces Price Target of $54Truist Securities analyst Richard Sunderland initiates coverage on Northwest Natural Hldg (NYSE:NWN) with a Hold rating and announces Price Target of $54.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Best Dividend Kings: October 2026Dividend Kings have outperformed SPY YTD, rising 13.5% versus SPY's 12.32%, with a strong October rebound. Check out the October best dividend kings here.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 8d ago
Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week October 25Get a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including dividend changes and key ex-dividend dates.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
This Constellation Energy Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For ThursdayAnalysts initiated coverage: Buy ratings for CleanSpark, Constellation Energy and Atrium; Outperform for Kardigan; Neutral for Northwest Natural.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
Mizuho Initiates Coverage On Northwest Natural Hldg with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $51Mizuho analyst Gabriel Moreen initiates coverage on Northwest Natural Hldg (NYSE:NWN) with a Neutral rating and announces Price Target of $51.
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
Rising Income Over Big Yields: 4 Dividend Kings That Have Raised Payouts for 70 Years StraightSome companies have raised their dividend every single year for seven decades, surviving recessions, pandemics, and oil shocks without missing a beat. Four of these rare businesses are still raising payouts today, and th
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 12d ago
Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Northwest Natural Hldg, Lowers Price Target to $49Wells Fargo analyst Constantine Lednev maintains Northwest Natural Hldg (NYSE:NWN) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $50 to $49.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NWN)
- ✓Walkthrough of NWN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NWN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $50.05H $50.15L $49.49C $49.96VOL 255.2K
RES: $54.45SUP: $44.50SMA50: $48.64SMA200: $50.13
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NWN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NWN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NWN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NWN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NWN)
Energy Rank #177 of 211
⚔️ EE vs NWN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NWN vs. EE, OGS, SR, NJR)
Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #117 by equity capitalization ($2.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NWN at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWN
ACTIVE
Northwest Natural Holding Company | D- | 43/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.0% | +0.99% | $2.10B | Benchmark Subject |
| EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) | B | 74/100 | 23.8x | — | 8.1% | +3.21% | $3.98B | /ee-vs-nwn → |
| OGS ONE Gas Inc. | D | 50/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.2% | +0.83% | $4.91B | /ogs-vs-nwn → |
| SR Spire Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 18.9x | 58.8% | 5.3% | +1.43% | $5.13B | /sr-vs-nwn → |
| NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 16.1x | — | 16.3% | +0.64% | $5.39B | /njr-vs-nwn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001733998In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.15B , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $113.3M, operating cash flow of $269.1M, and free cash flow of -$197.8M (-1.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NWN closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.29B | $113.3M | $269.1M | -$197.8M | $6.17B | $2.27B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.15B | $78.9M | $200.3M | -$194.1M | $5.23B | $1.68B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.20B | $93.9M | $279.9M | $279.9M | — | — |
3. NWN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NWN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE: NWN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $49.96 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $2.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NWN ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NWN compare to EE and OGS in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NWN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, EE (Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $3.98B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWN?
Per NWN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001733998), Northwest Natural Holding Company generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $113.3M in net income, and -$197.8M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NWN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NWN last traded at $49.96 (+0.99% on volume of 327,204 shares), positioning the stock +2.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.64) and -0.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.13). Across its 52-week range of $44.45 to $55.99, NWN sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($48.21 to $51.71).
NWN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NWN stock moving today?
Why NWN Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.