EE (64) OGS (49) SR (43) NJR (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$49.96 +0.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.95

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.10B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NWN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NWN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE: NWN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $49.96 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $2.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NWN ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NWN compare to EE and OGS in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NWN carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, EE (Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $3.98B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWN?

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Per NWN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001733998), Northwest Natural Holding Company generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $113.3M in net income, and -$197.8M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.96 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NWN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NWN SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$48.46-1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$47.96+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$49.92+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$49.96-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NWN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NWN currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($48.66) and Max Pain ($52.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NWN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NWN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NWN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $49.96: 200.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $36.69

$7,344

$-2,656 (-26.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $47.04

$9,416

$-584 (-5.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $58.79

$11,767

+$1,767 (+17.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$49	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$55	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$42	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NWN)

✓Walkthrough of NWN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NWN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $49.47H $49.96L $49.47C $49.96VOL 327.2K

RES: $50.14SUP: $44.77SMA50: $48.66SMA200: $50.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NWN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NWN Butterfly Map → + Track NWN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NWN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NWN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NWN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NWN)

Energy Rank #160 of 211 ⚔️ EE vs NWN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NWN vs. EE, OGS, SR, NJR)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) ranks #160 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #117 by equity capitalization ($2.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with NWN at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NWN ACTIVE Northwest Natural Holding Company	D	45/100	18.6x	—	6.0%	+0.99%	$2.10B	Benchmark Subject
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	C	64/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	+3.21%	$3.98B	/ee-vs-nwn →
OGS ONE Gas Inc.	D	49/100	18.6x	—	6.2%	+0.83%	$4.91B	/ogs-vs-nwn →
SR Spire Inc.	D-	43/100	18.9x	58.8%	5.3%	+1.43%	$5.13B	/sr-vs-nwn →
NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation	B-	71/100	16.1x	—	16.3%	+0.64%	$5.39B	/njr-vs-nwn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001733998

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.15B , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $113.3M, operating cash flow of $269.1M, and free cash flow of -$197.8M (-1.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NWN closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	$113.3M	$269.1M	-$197.8M	$6.17B	$2.27B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.15B	$78.9M	$200.3M	-$194.1M	$5.23B	$1.68B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.20B	$93.9M	$279.9M	$279.9M	—	—

3. NWN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NWN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NWN compare to EE and OGS in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWN?

Where is NWN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NWN last traded at $49.96 (+0.99% on volume of 327,204 shares), positioning the stock +2.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.66) and -0.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.14). Across its 52-week range of $44.45 to $55.99, NWN sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($48.21 to $51.71).

NWN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NWN's 12-month stock price target?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $47.04 (-5.8% from $49.96), with a bull-case target of $58.79 and a bear-case floor of $36.69.

Is NWN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NWN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 45/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NWN RQD Cockpit NWN 12M Forecast NWN Earnings & Move NWN Dividends & DRIP NWN Insiders & 13F NWN Whale Options NWN Profit Sankey NWN News & Why