Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (EE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$35.06 +3.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.35

Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (EE) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.35 (+0.82%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$45 Bull$38 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE EE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EE SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 21.7% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$34.76-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$33.20-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$32.40+8.2% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$35.06+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, EE faces multiple-compression risk if 23.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.60) or 200D SMA ($36.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.58) toward Bear Floor ($28.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
57.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
1.93>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE
L: $25$35.06H: $43
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on EE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

8.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 11.60% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 1.93 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (78)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EE
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $34.94H $35.71L $34.94C $35.06VOL 453.3K
RES: $41.17SUP: $29.86SMA50: $35.60SMA200: $36.02
$41.55$38.35$35.15$31.96$28.76RES $41.17SUP $29.86$35.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EE)

Energy Rank #16 of 211 ⚔️ OGS vs EE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EE vs. OGS, SR, NJR, UGP)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (EE) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #97 by equity capitalization ($3.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EE ACTIVE
Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)
B 74/100 23.8x — 8.1% +3.21% $3.98B Benchmark Subject
OGS
ONE Gas Inc.
D 50/100 18.6x — 6.2% +0.83% $4.91B /ogs-vs-ee →
SR
Spire Inc.
D- 43/100 18.9x 58.8% 5.3% +1.43% $5.13B /sr-vs-ee →
NJR
NewJersey Resources Corporation
B- 70/100 16.1x — 16.3% +0.64% $5.39B /njr-vs-ee →
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)
D 50/100 — — — -2.45% $6.64B /ugp-vs-ee →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001888447

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (EE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.23B (+44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $851.4M , and +6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.0M, operating cash flow of $461.2M, and free cash flow of $461.2M (+88.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, EE closed FY2025 with $4.13B in total assets against $912.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.23B $167.0M $461.2M $461.2M $4.13B $912.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $851.4M $153.0M $244.4M $244.4M $2.88B $286.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.16B $126.8M $231.9M $231.9M — —

3. EE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EE) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $35.06 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $3.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EE ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EE compare to OGS and SR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), EE carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B) and SR (Spire Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EE?

Per EE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001888447), Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $1.23B in revenue (+44.3% YoY), $167.0M in net income, and $461.2M in free cash flow against $4.13B in total assets and $912.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EE last traded at $35.06 (+3.21% on volume of 453,610 shares), positioning the stock -1.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.60) and -2.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.02). Across its 52-week range of $24.90 to $43.18, EE sits at the 55.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($32.54 to $37.58).

EE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell EE stock right now?

Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) (EE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is EE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EE's 12-month base price target is $37.58 (range $28.75 to $45.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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