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NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$53.11 +0.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.30

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $5.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.30 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 34.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NJR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NJR SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.5% FCF Margin ($466.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$51.21+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$52.19+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$53.16-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$53.11+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NJR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, NJR faces multiple-compression risk if 16.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($52.57) or 200D SMA ($54.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.98) toward Bear Floor ($43.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NJR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NJR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

56.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE55% OF RANGE

L: $43$53.11H: $61

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NJR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

16.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 8.65% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NJR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NJR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NJR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.68%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $53.71H $53.71L $52.97C $53.11VOL 849.9K

RES: $53.40SUP: $47.55SMA50: $52.57SMA200: $54.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NJR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NJR Butterfly Map → + Track NJR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NJR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NJR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NJR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NJR)

Energy Rank #40 of 211 ⚔️ SR vs NJR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NJR vs. SR, OGS, UGP, EE)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #82 by equity capitalization ($5.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NJR at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NJR ACTIVE NewJersey Resources Corporation	B-	70/100	16.1x	—	16.3%	+0.64%	$5.39B	Benchmark Subject
SR Spire Inc.	D-	43/100	18.9x	58.8%	5.3%	+1.43%	$5.13B	/sr-vs-njr →
OGS ONE Gas Inc.	D	50/100	18.6x	—	6.2%	+0.83%	$4.91B	/ogs-vs-njr →
UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.45%	$6.64B	/ugp-vs-njr →
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	B	74/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	+3.21%	$3.98B	/ee-vs-njr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000356309

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $335.6M, operating cash flow of $466.3M, and free cash flow of $466.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NJR closed FY2025 with $7.91B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.35B	$335.6M	$466.3M	$466.3M	$7.91B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.23B	$289.8M	$427.4M	$427.4M	$7.19B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.11B	$264.7M	$479.0M	$479.0M	—	—

3. NJR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NJR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NYSE: NJR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $53.11 (+0.64% 1D, market cap $5.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NJR ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NJR compare to SR and OGS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NJR carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NJR?

Per NJR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000356309), NewJersey Resources Corporation generated $1.35B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $335.6M in net income, and $466.3M in free cash flow against $7.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NJR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NJR last traded at $53.11 (+0.64% on volume of 569,967 shares), positioning the stock +1.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($52.57) and -2.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.47). Across its 52-week range of $43.46 to $60.86, NJR sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($51.20 to $55.02).

NJR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NJR stock right now?

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is NJR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NJR's 12-month base price target is $55.98 (range $43.55 to $66.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NJR RQD Cockpit NJR 12M Forecast NJR Earnings & Move NJR Dividends & DRIP NJR Insiders & 13F NJR Whale Options NJR Profit Sankey NJR News & Why