Titan International Inc. (TWI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.91 -25.83% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.67

Titan International Inc. (TWI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $316.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TWI Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TWI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Titan International Inc. (NYSE: TWI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.91 (-25.83% 1D, market cap $316.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TWI ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TWI compare to FRD and ASTL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TWI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, FRD (Friedman Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $311.4M) and ASTL (Algoma Steel Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $527.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IIIN leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while FRD leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWI?
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Per TWI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000899751), Titan International Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-0.9% YoY), -$61.2M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.67 (-4.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510019
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.5% Base Target
$12 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TWI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TWI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TWI SCORES 19/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 13.9% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$6.85-4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$6.57+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$6.64-26.1% Next Q
Current
19
Grade E$4.91-12% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (27) β†’ E (19)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TWI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TWI currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.93) and Max Pain ($5.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.29.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TWIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTWI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TWI)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TWI.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TWI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TWI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TWI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.79%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $6.62H $6.62L $4.91C $4.91VOL 3.25M
RES: $8.35SUP: $5.20SMA50: $6.93SMA200: $7.80
$8.69$7.58$6.48$5.37$4.27RES $8.35SUP $5.20$4.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TWI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TWI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWI)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TWI vs. FRD, ASTL, IIIN, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Titan International Inc. (TWI) ranks #266 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #199 by equity capitalization ($316.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IIIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while FRD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. FRD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TWI at 19/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TWI ACTIVE
Titan International Inc.
E 19/100 β€” 13.9% 5.3% -25.83% $316.9M Benchmark Subject
FRD
Friedman Industries Inc.
C 62/100 15.9x β€” 13.7% +0.82% $311.4M /frd-vs-twi β†’
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.01% $527.3M /astl-vs-twi β†’
IIIN
Insteel Industries Inc.
D 50/100 13.7x 14.4% 11.4% +2.59% $560.6M /iiin-vs-twi β†’
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” 8.2% -0.2% +1.18% $887.8M /mtus-vs-twi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000899751

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Titan International Inc. (TWI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (-0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.85B , and +0.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.2M, operating cash flow of $30.0M, and free cash flow of -$24.6M (-132.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWI closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.83B -$61.2M $30.0M -$24.6M $1.67B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.85B -$3.6M $141.5M $75.9M $1.58B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.82B $83.7M $179.3M $179.3M β€” β€”

3. TWI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TWI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Titan International Inc. (NYSE: TWI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.91 (-25.83% 1D, market cap $316.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TWI ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TWI compare to FRD and ASTL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TWI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, FRD (Friedman Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $311.4M) and ASTL (Algoma Steel Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $527.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IIIN leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while FRD leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWI?

Per TWI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000899751), Titan International Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-0.9% YoY), -$61.2M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TWI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TWI last traded at $4.91 (-25.83% on volume of 3,252,948 shares), positioning the stock -29.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.93) and -37.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.80). Across its 52-week range of $4.61 to $11.70, TWI sits at the 4.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($4.30 to $5.52).

TWI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TWI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TWI.

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