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Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$28.96 +2.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.04

Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $560.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.04 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 4.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IIIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IIIN SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$29.50+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$29.66-6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$27.77+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$28.96+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IIIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, IIIN faces multiple-compression risk if 13.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.81) or 200D SMA ($30.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.74) toward Bear Floor ($23.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IIIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IIIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

41.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE

L: $24$28.96H: $38

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on IIIN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

11.4% ROIC with 14.4% gross margin and 4.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (73)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like IIIN

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IIIN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IIIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.62%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $28.86H $29.11L $28.20C $28.96VOL 135.5K

RES: $30.87SUP: $27.03SMA50: $29.81SMA200: $30.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IIIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IIIN Butterfly Map → + Track IIIN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IIIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IIIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IIIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IIIN)

Materials Rank #32 of 270 ⚔️ ASTL vs IIIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IIIN vs. ASTL, MTUS, SXC, NWPX)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #167 by equity capitalization ($560.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IIIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while IIIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 14.4% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IIIN at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IIIN ACTIVE Insteel Industries Inc.	C	64/100	13.7x	14.4%	11.4%	+2.59%	$560.6M	Benchmark Subject
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.01%	$527.3M	/astl-vs-iiin →
MTUS Metallus Inc.	D	46/100	—	8.2%	-0.2%	+1.18%	$887.8M	/mtus-vs-iiin →
SXC SunCoke Energy Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-2.9%	+3.76%	$936.2M	/sxc-vs-iiin →
NWPX NWPX Infrastructure Inc.	B-	70/100	26.7x	19.7%	10.0%	-1.68%	$944.4M	/nwpx-vs-iiin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000764401

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) reported GAAP revenue of $647.7M (+22.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $529.2M , and -0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $27.2M, and free cash flow of $27.2M (-53.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IIIN closed FY2025 with $456.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-27	$647.7M	$41.0M	$27.2M	$27.2M	$456.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-28	$529.2M	$19.3M	$58.2M	$58.2M	$404.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$649.2M	$32.4M	$142.2M	$142.2M	—	—

3. IIIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IIIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Insteel Industries Inc. (NYSE: IIIN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $28.96 (+2.59% 1D, market cap $560.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IIIN ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IIIN compare to ASTL and MTUS in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), IIIN carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.7x, gross margin of 14.4%, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, ASTL (Algoma Steel Group Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $527.3M) and MTUS (Metallus Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $887.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IIIN leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while IIIN leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IIIN?

Per IIIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000764401), Insteel Industries Inc. generated $647.7M in revenue (+22.4% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $27.2M in free cash flow against $456.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IIIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IIIN last traded at $28.96 (+2.59% on volume of 166,138 shares), positioning the stock -2.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.81) and -6.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.93). Across its 52-week range of $24.35 to $38.45, IIIN sits at the 32.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($27.02 to $30.90).

IIIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell IIIN stock right now?

Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 14% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is IIIN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

IIIN's 12-month base price target is $29.74 (range $23.2 to $40.37), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: IIIN RQD Cockpit IIIN 12M Forecast IIIN Earnings & Move IIIN Dividends & DRIP IIIN Insiders & 13F IIIN Whale Options IIIN Profit Sankey IIIN News & Why