SunCoke Energy Inc. (SXC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.03 +3.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.08

SunCoke Energy Inc. (SXC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $936.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.08 (+0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (5)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE SXC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SXC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SXC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$9.94+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$10.25-2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$10.01+10.2% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$11.03-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SXC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SXC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.99) and Max Pain ($11.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SXC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SXC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
70.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.63>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE94% OF RANGE
L: $6$11.03H: $11
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SXC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

-2.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.52% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 1.63 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SXC
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SXC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SXC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SXC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +61.73%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $10.81H $11.36L $10.71C $11.03VOL 1.32M
RES: $11.28SUP: $9.77SMA50: $9.99SMA200: $8.28
$11.73$10.19$8.64$7.09$5.54RES $11.28SUP $9.77$11.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SXC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SXC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SXC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SXC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SXC)

Materials Rank #148 of 270 ⚔️ NWPX vs SXC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SXC vs. NWPX, MTUS, SID, ROCK)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SunCoke Energy Inc. (SXC) ranks #148 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #141 by equity capitalization ($936.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with SXC at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SXC ACTIVE
SunCoke Energy Inc.
D 51/100 — — -2.9% +3.76% $936.2M Benchmark Subject
NWPX
NWPX Infrastructure Inc.
B- 70/100 26.7x 19.7% 10.0% -1.68% $944.4M /nwpx-vs-sxc →
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
D 46/100 — 8.2% -0.2% +1.18% $887.8M /mtus-vs-sxc →
SID
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.
D+ 57/100 — — — -3.03% $1.03B /sid-vs-sxc →
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 26.9% 11.6% +5.22% $1.20B /rock-vs-sxc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001514705

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SunCoke Energy Inc. (SXC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (-5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.94B , and -10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.2M, operating cash flow of $109.1M, and free cash flow of $42.3M (-55.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SXC closed FY2025 with $1.79B in total assets against $685.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.63, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.84B -$44.2M $109.1M $42.3M $1.79B $685.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.94B $95.9M $168.8M $95.9M $1.67B $492.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.06B $57.5M $249.0M $249.0M — —

3. SXC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SunCoke Energy Inc. (NYSE: SXC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $11.03 (+3.76% 1D, market cap $936.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SXC ranks #148 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SXC compare to NWPX and MTUS in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), SXC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $944.4M) and MTUS (Metallus Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $887.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SXC?

Per SXC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001514705), SunCoke Energy Inc. generated $1.84B in revenue (-5.1% YoY), -$44.2M in net income, and $42.3M in free cash flow against $1.79B in total assets and $685.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SXC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SXC last traded at $11.03 (+3.76% on volume of 1,372,938 shares), positioning the stock +10.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.99) and +33.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.28). Across its 52-week range of $5.52 to $11.36, SXC sits at the 94.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($10.16 to $11.90).

SXC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SXC stock right now?

SunCoke Energy Inc. (SXC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SXC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SXC's 12-month base price target is $10.68 (range $8.33 to $12.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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