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Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is TH's 12-month stock price target?

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.6 (-4.5% from $14.24), with a bull-case target of $22.85 and a bear-case floor of $10.61.

Q: Is TH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TH D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

$14.24 +0.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.42B

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.24: 702.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.61

$7,451

$-2,549 (-25.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.60

$9,551

$-449 (-4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.85

$16,046

+$6,046 (+60.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$21	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TH)

✓Walkthrough of TH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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TH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $13.67H $14.24L $13.01C $14.24VOL 2.82M

RES: $22.14SUP: $10.85SMA50: $18.06SMA200: $14.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TH Butterfly Map → + Track TH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #679 of 1011 ⚔️ MLCO vs TH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TH vs. MLCO, HBNB, XHR, MCRI)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) ranks #679 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #468 by equity capitalization ($1.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TH at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TH ACTIVE Target Hospitality Corp.	D	48/100	—	15.5%	-7.2%	+0.92%	$1.42B	Benchmark Subject
MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited	C	62/100	8.2x	—	10.6%	+2.95%	$1.51B	/mlco-vs-th →
HBNB Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-5.09%	$1.09B	/hbnb-vs-th →
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	53/100	30.3x	30.6%	8.5%	+0.14%	$1.91B	/xhr-vs-th →
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.	C+	69/100	19.8x	23.4%	18.9%	-0.44%	$2.00B	/mcri-vs-th →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712189

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) reported GAAP revenue of $274.8M (+3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $265.9M , and -24.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.1M, operating cash flow of $74.1M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (-51.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, TH closed FY2025 with $530.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.09, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$274.8M	-$37.1M	$74.1M	$74.1M	$530.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$265.9M	$71.4M	$151.7M	$151.7M	$725.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$365.6M	$173.7M	$156.8M	$156.8M	—	—

3. TH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $14.24 (+0.92% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TH ranks #679 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TH compare to MLCO and HBNB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), TH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.5%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $1.51B) and HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TH?

Per TH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712189), Target Hospitality Corp. generated $274.8M in revenue (+3.4% YoY), -$37.1M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $530.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TH last traded at $14.24 (+0.92% on volume of 1,295,642 shares), positioning the stock -21.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.06) and -3.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.77). Across its 52-week range of $5.97 to $21.76, TH sits at the 52.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($12.73 to $15.75).

TH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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What is TH's 12-month stock price target?

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.6 (-4.5% from $14.24), with a bull-case target of $22.85 and a bear-case floor of $10.61.

Is TH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TH D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TH RQD Cockpit TH 12M Forecast TH Earnings & Move TH Dividends & DRIP TH Insiders & 13F TH Whale Options TH Profit Sankey TH News & Why