Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MCRI

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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$111.76 -0.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.00B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

35.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE49% OF RANGE

L: $88$111.76H: $136

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (23% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on MCRI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

18.9% ROIC with 23.4% gross margin and 6.41% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MCRI

✓Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MCRI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MCRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $112.2H $112.2L $109.5C $111.8VOL 236.4K

RES: $121.0SUP: $106.9SMA50: $118.1SMA200: $112.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MCRI Butterfly Map → + Track MCRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #202 of 1011 ⚔️ PENN vs MCRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MCRI vs. PENN, XHR, SHO, MLCO)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #416 by equity capitalization ($2.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MCRI ACTIVE Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.	C+	69/100	19.8x	23.4%	18.9%	-0.44%	$2.00B	Benchmark Subject
PENN PENN Entertainment Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	-13.3%	+4.14%	$2.06B	/penn-vs-mcri →
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	53/100	30.3x	30.6%	8.5%	+0.14%	$1.91B	/xhr-vs-mcri →
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.	C+	67/100	—	—	—	+1.41%	$2.41B	/sho-vs-mcri →
MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited	C	62/100	8.2x	—	10.6%	+2.95%	$1.51B	/mlco-vs-mcri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000907242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) reported GAAP revenue of $545.1M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.2M , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.4M, operating cash flow of $164.7M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCRI closed FY2025 with $712.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$545.1M	$101.4M	$164.7M	$128.4M	$712.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$522.2M	$72.8M	$140.7M	$93.3M	$691.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$501.5M	$82.4M	$173.0M	$173.0M	—	—

3. MCRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $111.76 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $2.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCRI compare to PENN and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.06B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCRI?

Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCRI last traded at $111.76 (-0.44% on volume of 137,491 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($118.06) and -0.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($112.71). Across its 52-week range of $88.34 to $135.93, MCRI sits at the 49.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($106.40 to $117.12).

MCRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MCRI stock right now?

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 23% profit margin (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MCRI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MCRI's 12-month base price target is $117.29 (range $91.49 to $142.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MCRI RQD Cockpit MCRI 12M Forecast MCRI Earnings & Move MCRI Dividends & DRIP MCRI Insiders & 13F MCRI Whale Options MCRI Profit Sankey MCRI News & Why