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Why MCRI Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$111.76 -0.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.46
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.00B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MCRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $111.76 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $2.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MCRI compare to PENN and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.06B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCRI?
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Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.46 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 23.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MCRI SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.6% FCF Margin ($128.4M FCF) & 23.4% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B+$114.34-0.7% Next Q
77
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$113.59-0.8% Next Q
74
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$112.68-0.8% Next Q
72
CurrentGrade C+$111.76+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MCRI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, MCRI faces multiple-compression risk if 19.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($118.06) or 200D SMA ($112.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($117.29) toward Bear Floor ($91.49).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MCRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MCRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MCRI Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) slipped -0.44% to $111.76, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($88.34 – $135.93). Solid 23% profit margin (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($88.34 – $135.93) with RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.8% around $111.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 23.4% gross margin and $128.4M annual free cash flow.
Live MCRI Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MCRI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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MCRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $112.2H $112.2L $109.5C $111.8VOL 236.4K
RES: $121.0SUP: $106.9SMA50: $118.1SMA200: $112.7
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MCRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCRI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #202 of 1011
⚔️ PENN vs MCRI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MCRI vs. PENN, XHR, SHO, MLCO)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #416 by equity capitalization ($2.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI
ACTIVE
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | -0.44% | $2.00B | Benchmark Subject |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +4.14% | $2.06B | /penn-vs-mcri → |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | +0.14% | $1.91B | /xhr-vs-mcri → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +1.41% | $2.41B | /sho-vs-mcri → |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | C | 62/100 | 8.2x | — | 10.6% | +2.95% | $1.51B | /mlco-vs-mcri → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000907242In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) reported GAAP revenue of $545.1M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.2M , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.4M, operating cash flow of $164.7M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCRI closed FY2025 with $712.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $545.1M | $101.4M | $164.7M | $128.4M | $712.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $522.2M | $72.8M | $140.7M | $93.3M | $691.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $501.5M | $82.4M | $173.0M | $173.0M | — | — |
3. MCRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MCRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $111.76 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $2.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MCRI compare to PENN and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.06B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCRI?
Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MCRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MCRI last traded at $111.76 (-0.44% on volume of 137,491 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($118.06) and -0.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($112.71). Across its 52-week range of $88.34 to $135.93, MCRI sits at the 49.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($106.40 to $117.12).
MCRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MCRI stock moving today?
Why MCRI Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 23% profit margin (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.