Runway Growth Finance Corp. (RWAY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.60 +1.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Runway Growth Finance Corp. (RWAY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $276.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE RWAY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RWAY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
52.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $5$6.60H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RWAY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

7.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RWAY
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RWAY Tape Review)

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RWAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.93%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $6.56H $6.60L $6.43C $6.60VOL 330.5K
RES: $6.66SUP: $6.34SMA50: $6.54SMA200: $6.78
$9.43$8.28$7.13$5.98$4.83RES $6.66SUP $6.34$6.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RWAY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RWAY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RWAY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RWAY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RWAY)

Financials Rank #360 of 1096 ⚔️ HRZN vs RWAY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RWAY vs. HRZN, HTT, USDE, MFIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Runway Growth Finance Corp. (RWAY) ranks #360 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #831 by equity capitalization ($276.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIN leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while MFIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.5% ROIC and — gross margin. RWAY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RWAY ACTIVE
Runway Growth Finance Corp.
C 64/100 8.1x — 7.0% +1.70% $276.6M Benchmark Subject
HRZN
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
D+ 58/100 — — -0.8% +2.74% $276.9M /hrzn-vs-rway →
HTT
High Templar Tech Limited each representing one Class A ordinary share
D- 41/100 — — -5.2% -3.19% $282.6M /htt-vs-rway →
USDE
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — — — +4.44% $268.6M /usde-vs-rway →
MFIN
Medallion Financial Corp.
D+ 57/100 6.2x — 10.5% +1.39% $268.2M /mfin-vs-rway →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653384

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Runway Growth Finance Corp. (RWAY) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $34.0M, operating cash flow of $186.3M, and free cash flow of $186.3M (+167.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RWAY closed FY2025 with $960.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $34.0M $186.3M $186.3M $960.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $73.6M $69.8M $69.8M $1.09B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $44.3M $112.4M $112.4M — —

3. RWAY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RWAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Runway Growth Finance Corp. (NASDAQ: RWAY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $6.60 (+1.70% 1D, market cap $276.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RWAY ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RWAY compare to HRZN and HTT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), RWAY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.0%. By comparison, HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $276.9M) and HTT (High Templar Tech Limited each representing one Class A ordinary share) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.2%, cap $282.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while MFIN leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RWAY?

Per RWAY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653384), Runway Growth Finance Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $34.0M in net income, and $186.3M in free cash flow against $960.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RWAY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RWAY last traded at $6.60 (+1.70% on volume of 207,576 shares), positioning the stock +0.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.54) and -2.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.78). Across its 52-week range of $5.19 to $10.06, RWAY sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($6.29 to $6.91).

RWAY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RWAY stock right now?

Runway Growth Finance Corp. (RWAY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is RWAY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RWAY's 12-month base price target is $6.78 (range $5.29 to $10.56), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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