SR (43) NJR (70) EE (74) UGP (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$78.10 +0.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.07

ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.91B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.07 (-0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OGS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$72.50+4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$75.60+3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$77.93+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$78.10-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OGS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($76.18) and Max Pain ($82.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±3.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OGS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OGS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGS)

✓Walkthrough of OGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $79.01H $79.40L $78.10C $78.10VOL 635.4K

RES: $85.25SUP: $67.12SMA50: $76.18SMA200: $80.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OGS Butterfly Map → + Track OGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGS)

Energy Rank #145 of 211 ⚔️ SR vs OGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OGS vs. SR, NJR, EE, UGP)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #84 by equity capitalization ($4.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with OGS at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OGS ACTIVE ONE Gas Inc.	D	50/100	18.6x	—	6.2%	+0.83%	$4.91B	Benchmark Subject
SR Spire Inc.	D-	43/100	18.9x	58.8%	5.3%	+1.43%	$5.13B	/sr-vs-ogs →
NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation	B-	70/100	16.1x	—	16.3%	+0.64%	$5.39B	/njr-vs-ogs →
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	B	74/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	+3.21%	$3.98B	/ee-vs-ogs →
UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.45%	$6.64B	/ugp-vs-ogs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001587732

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $264.2M, operating cash flow of $578.8M, and free cash flow of -$128.4M (+61.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OGS closed FY2025 with $8.85B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$264.2M	$578.8M	-$128.4M	$8.85B	$2.36B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$222.8M	$368.4M	-$334.8M	$8.43B	$2.39B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$231.2M	$939.5M	$939.5M	—	—

3. OGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $78.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $4.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OGS ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OGS compare to SR and NJR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), OGS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGS?

Per OGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001587732), ONE Gas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $264.2M in net income, and -$128.4M in free cash flow against $8.85B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGS last traded at $78.10 (+0.83% on volume of 450,023 shares), positioning the stock +2.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.18) and -3.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.91). Across its 52-week range of $70.37 to $90.78, OGS sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($75.21 to $80.99).

OGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OGS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for OGS.

Direct Sub-Reports: OGS RQD Cockpit OGS 12M Forecast OGS Earnings & Move OGS Dividends & DRIP OGS Insiders & 13F OGS Whale Options OGS Profit Sankey OGS News & Why