Stock Ratings / Energy / OGS / dividends

SR (43) NJR (71) EE (64) UGP (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$78.10 +0.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.07

ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.91B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $78.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $4.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OGS ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OGS compare to SR and NJR in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), OGS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGS?

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Per OGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001587732), ONE Gas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $264.2M in net income, and -$128.4M in free cash flow against $8.85B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.07 (-0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OGS SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$73.61+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$74.59+5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$78.36-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$78.10-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OGS currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($76.16) and Max Pain ($82.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

3.87% Total Yield

3.27% Cash ($2.55/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $23,243

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $899/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.9K

Yr 1

$11.8K

Yr 2

$12.9K

Yr 3

$14.0K

Yr 4

$15.2K

Yr 5

$16.6K

Yr 6

$18.0K

Yr 7

$19.6K

Yr 8

$21.4K

Yr 9

$23.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGS)

✓Walkthrough of OGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $77.46H $78.10L $77.46C $78.10VOL 450.0K

RES: $85.31SUP: $68.91SMA50: $76.16SMA200: $80.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OGS Butterfly Map → + Track OGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGS)

Energy Rank #141 of 211 ⚔️ SR vs OGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OGS vs. SR, NJR, EE, UGP)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #84 by equity capitalization ($4.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with OGS at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OGS ACTIVE ONE Gas Inc.	D	49/100	18.6x	—	6.2%	+0.83%	$4.91B	Benchmark Subject
SR Spire Inc.	D-	43/100	18.9x	58.8%	5.3%	+1.43%	$5.13B	/sr-vs-ogs →
NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation	B-	71/100	16.1x	—	16.3%	+0.64%	$5.39B	/njr-vs-ogs →
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	C	64/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	+3.21%	$3.98B	/ee-vs-ogs →
UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-2.45%	$6.64B	/ugp-vs-ogs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001587732

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $264.2M, operating cash flow of $578.8M, and free cash flow of -$128.4M (+61.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OGS closed FY2025 with $8.85B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$264.2M	$578.8M	-$128.4M	$8.85B	$2.36B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$222.8M	$368.4M	-$334.8M	$8.43B	$2.39B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$231.2M	$939.5M	$939.5M	—	—

3. OGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OGS compare to SR and NJR in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGS?

Where is OGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGS last traded at $78.10 (+0.83% on volume of 450,023 shares), positioning the stock +2.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.16) and -3.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.91). Across its 52-week range of $70.37 to $90.78, OGS sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($75.29 to $80.91).

OGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does OGS pay a dividend and is it safe?

ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) offers a 3.27% cash dividend yield ($2.55 annualized) and 3.87% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: OGS RQD Cockpit OGS 12M Forecast OGS Earnings & Move OGS Dividends & DRIP OGS Insiders & 13F OGS Whale Options OGS Profit Sankey OGS News & Why