ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
While OGS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($76.18) and Max Pain ($82.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.32.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) advanced +0.83% to $78.10, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($70.37 – $90.78). Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ONE Gas is receiving fresh attention for a dividend yield above the gas utility industry average and a multiyear record of regular dividend increases, supported by regulated operations across Texas, Kansas, and Oklahoma.
ONE Gas (OGS) is drawing fresh attention after commentary highlighted its dividend yield above the industry average and a record of consistent dividend growth, which puts its income profile in sharper focus. Recent tradi
Dividends are one of the best benefits to being a shareholder, but finding a great dividend stock is no easy task. Does ONE Gas (OGS) have what it takes? Let's find out.
Atmos (ATO) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
ONE Gas (OGS) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd maintains ONE Gas (NYSE:OGS) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $79 to $78.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #84 by equity capitalization ($4.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with OGS at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGS
ACTIVE
ONE Gas Inc. | D | 50/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.2% | +0.83% | $4.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| SR Spire Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 18.9x | 58.8% | 5.3% | +1.43% | $5.13B | /sr-vs-ogs → |
| NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 16.1x | — | 16.3% | +0.64% | $5.39B | /njr-vs-ogs → |
| EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) | B | 74/100 | 23.8x | — | 8.1% | +3.21% | $3.98B | /ee-vs-ogs → |
| UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share) | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.45% | $6.64B | /ugp-vs-ogs → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $264.2M, operating cash flow of $578.8M, and free cash flow of -$128.4M (+61.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OGS closed FY2025 with $8.85B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $264.2M | $578.8M | -$128.4M | $8.85B | $2.36B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $222.8M | $368.4M | -$334.8M | $8.43B | $2.39B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $231.2M | $939.5M | $939.5M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $78.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $4.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OGS ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), OGS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
Per OGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001587732), ONE Gas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $264.2M in net income, and -$128.4M in free cash flow against $8.85B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
OGS last traded at $78.10 (+0.83% on volume of 450,023 shares), positioning the stock +2.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.18) and -3.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.91). Across its 52-week range of $70.37 to $90.78, OGS sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($75.21 to $80.99).
Why OGS Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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