Standard Motor Products (SMP) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.79% and -0.08%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Why MPAA Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (MPAA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MPAA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, MPAA faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 17.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.79) or 200D SMA ($11.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.58) toward Bear Floor ($8.25).
Why MPAA Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (MPAA) dropped -3.29% to $10.30, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.29 – $18.12). Solid 20% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.29 – $18.12) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $10.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 20.2% gross margin and $15.5M annual free cash flow.
LOS ANGELES, October 28, 2026--Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (Nasdaq:MPAA) today announced it is scheduled for a fireside chat presentation at Gabelli Funds 50th Annual Automotive Symposium being held in Las Vegas on M
Dorman Products (DORM) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +5.58% and -0.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
PALM BEACH, Fla., Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gabelli today released the agenda for its 50th Annual Automotive Symposium, taking place Monday and Tuesday, November 2nd and 3rd, at the Encore at Wynn in Las Vegas, N
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MPAA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
MPAA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPAA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPAA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPAA)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MPAA vs. SRI, STRT, CVGI, CAAS)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (MPAA) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #698 by equity capitalization ($195.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MPAA at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPAA
ACTIVE
Motorcar Parts of America Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | 20.2% | 21.6% | -3.29% | $195.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 19.9% | -24.1% | +0.83% | $174.0M | /sri-vs-mpaa → |
| STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION | C+ | 67/100 | 12.5x | 16.5% | 15.2% | +0.63% | $256.6M | /strt-vs-mpaa → |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 10.5% | -0.2% | -1.22% | $131.2M | /cvgi-vs-mpaa → |
| CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share | D+ | 53/100 | — | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.04% | $130.3M | /caas-vs-mpaa → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000918251In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (MPAA) reported GAAP revenue of $789.8M (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $757.4M , and +10.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.0M, operating cash flow of $19.2M, and free cash flow of $15.5M (-62.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPAA closed FY2025 with $991.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.41, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $789.8M | $12.0M | $19.2M | $15.5M | $991.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $757.4M | -$19.0M | $45.5M | $40.9M | $949.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $717.7M | -$49.0M | $39.2M | $39.2M | — | — |
3. MPAA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MPAA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (NASDAQ: MPAA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.30 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $195.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MPAA ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MPAA compare to SRI and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), MPAA carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M) and STRT (STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $256.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPAA?
Per MPAA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000918251), Motorcar Parts of America Inc. generated $789.8M in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $12.0M in net income, and $15.5M in free cash flow against $991.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MPAA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MPAA last traded at $10.30 (-3.29% on volume of 79,002 shares), positioning the stock -4.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.79) and -12.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $9.29 to $18.12, MPAA sits at the 11.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($9.55 to $11.05).
MPAA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MPAA stock moving today?
Why MPAA Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 20% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.