Why JBGS Stock surged +3.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$12.01 +3.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $896.2M
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Why JBGS Stock surged +3.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) surged +3.98% to $12.01, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $19.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $19.13) with RSI-14 at 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.8% around $12.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $73.3M annual free cash flow.
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JBGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $12.05H $12.12L $11.84C $12.01VOL 611.1K
RES: $14.64SUP: $9.45SMA50: $11.28SMA200: $13.95
$18.77$16.37$13.98$11.58$9.19RES $14.64SUP $9.45$12.012026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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JBGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBGS)

Financials Rank #763 of 1096 ⚔️ ESRT vs JBGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (JBGS vs. ESRT, SVC, ORC, ARI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) ranks #763 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #575 by equity capitalization ($896.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. ORC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with JBGS at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBGS ACTIVE
JBG SMITH Properties
D+ 52/100 — — -12.0% +3.98% $896.2M Benchmark Subject
ESRT
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — — 11.6% +1.61% $869.4M /esrt-vs-jbgs →
SVC
Service Properties Trust of
D+ 53/100 — — -31.3% +1.75% $830.2M /svc-vs-jbgs →
ORC
Orchid Island Capital Inc.
C 65/100 6.1x — 11.6% -0.20% $970.8M /orc-vs-jbgs →
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
C- 59/100 6.5x — 6.8% -1.68% $827.0M /ari-vs-jbgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001689796

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) reported GAAP revenue of $498.6M (-8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $547.3M , and -17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$139.1M, operating cash flow of $73.3M, and free cash flow of $73.3M (-43.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBGS closed FY2025 with $4.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $498.6M -$139.1M $73.3M $73.3M $4.39B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $547.3M -$143.5M $129.4M $129.4M $5.02B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $604.2M -$80.0M $183.4M $183.4M — —

3. JBGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

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Is JBGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, JBG SMITH Properties (NYSE: JBGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.01 (+3.98% 1D, market cap $896.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, JBGS ranks #763 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBGS compare to ESRT and SVC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), JBGS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 11.6%, cap $869.4M) and SVC (Service Properties Trust of) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.3%, cap $830.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBGS?

Per JBGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689796), JBG SMITH Properties generated $498.6M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$139.1M in net income, and $73.3M in free cash flow against $4.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBGS last traded at $12.01 (+3.98% on volume of 1,031,132 shares), positioning the stock +6.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.28) and -13.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.95). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $19.13, JBGS sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($11.19 to $12.83).

JBGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is JBGS stock moving today?

Why JBGS Stock surged +3.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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