Stock Ratings / Financials / JBGS / dividends

ESRT (57) SVC (53) ORC (65) ARI (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.01 +3.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.07

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $896.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, JBG SMITH Properties (NYSE: JBGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.01 (+3.98% 1D, market cap $896.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, JBGS ranks #763 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBGS compare to ESRT and SVC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), JBGS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 11.6%, cap $869.4M) and SVC (Service Properties Trust of) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.3%, cap $830.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBGS?

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Per JBGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689796), JBG SMITH Properties generated $498.6M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$139.1M in net income, and $73.3M in free cash flow against $4.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.07 (+0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 14.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JBGS SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$10.92+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.15+3.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.57+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$12.01-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JBGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JBGS currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.28) and Max Pain ($12.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JBGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

7.2% Total Yield

5.4% Cash ($0.65/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

43% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $27,636

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,990/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.1K

Yr 1

$12.3K

Yr 2

$13.6K

Yr 3

$15.0K

Yr 4

$16.6K

Yr 5

$18.4K

Yr 6

$20.4K

Yr 7

$22.6K

Yr 8

$25.0K

Yr 9

$27.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBGS)

✓Walkthrough of JBGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JBGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $12.05H $12.12L $11.84C $12.01VOL 611.1K

RES: $14.64SUP: $9.45SMA50: $11.28SMA200: $13.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBGS Butterfly Map → + Track JBGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBGS)

Financials Rank #763 of 1096 ⚔️ ESRT vs JBGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (JBGS vs. ESRT, SVC, ORC, ARI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) ranks #763 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #575 by equity capitalization ($896.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. ORC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with JBGS at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JBGS ACTIVE JBG SMITH Properties	D+	52/100	—	—	-12.0%	+3.98%	$896.2M	Benchmark Subject
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	—	—	11.6%	+1.61%	$869.4M	/esrt-vs-jbgs →
SVC Service Properties Trust of	D+	53/100	—	—	-31.3%	+1.75%	$830.2M	/svc-vs-jbgs →
ORC Orchid Island Capital Inc.	C	65/100	6.1x	—	11.6%	-0.20%	$970.8M	/orc-vs-jbgs →
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc	C-	59/100	6.5x	—	6.8%	-1.68%	$827.0M	/ari-vs-jbgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001689796

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) reported GAAP revenue of $498.6M (-8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $547.3M , and -17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$139.1M, operating cash flow of $73.3M, and free cash flow of $73.3M (-43.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBGS closed FY2025 with $4.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$498.6M	-$139.1M	$73.3M	$73.3M	$4.39B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$547.3M	-$143.5M	$129.4M	$129.4M	$5.02B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$604.2M	-$80.0M	$183.4M	$183.4M	—	—

3. JBGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JBGS compare to ESRT and SVC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBGS?

Where is JBGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBGS last traded at $12.01 (+3.98% on volume of 1,031,132 shares), positioning the stock +6.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.28) and -13.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.95). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $19.13, JBGS sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($11.19 to $12.83).

JBGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does JBGS pay a dividend and is it safe?

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) offers a 5.4% cash dividend yield ($0.65 annualized) and 7.2% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: JBGS RQD Cockpit JBGS 12M Forecast JBGS Earnings & Move JBGS Dividends & DRIP JBGS Insiders & 13F JBGS Whale Options JBGS Profit Sankey JBGS News & Why