MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Imperial Oil shares are trading lower after the company reported worse-than-expected Q4 sales results.Why HOS Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.18 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.60B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$7.47-8.3% Next Q
70
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$6.85+3.6% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$7.10+1.1% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C$7.18+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, HOS faces multiple-compression risk if 51.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.24) or 200D SMA ($9.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.31) toward Bear Floor ($5.70).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HOS Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) advanced +1.27% to $7.18, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($6.11 – $11.13). Solid 12% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 52x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($6.11 – $11.13) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $7.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 12.3% gross margin and $136.7M annual free cash flow.
Live HOS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
Hornbeck Offshore Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call ScheduleHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc. ("Hornbeck" or the "Company") (NYSE: HOS) today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results prior to the Company's live conference call, which can be accessed
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HOS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $7.11H $7.18L $6.97C $7.18VOL 2.35M
RES: $11.44SUP: $5.99SMA50: $8.24SMA200: $9.05
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)
Energy Rank #89 of 211
⚔️ RES vs HOS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. NESR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with HOS at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOS
ACTIVE
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. | C | 62/100 | 51.7x | 12.3% | 3.5% | +1.27% | $1.60B | Benchmark Subject |
| RES RPC Inc. | D | 51/100 | 44.1x | — | 4.0% | -5.20% | $1.41B | /res-vs-hos → |
| XPRO Expro Ltd | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -1.48% | $1.97B | /xpro-vs-hos → |
| NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp | C | 63/100 | 42.3x | 12.4% | 7.5% | -1.43% | $2.16B | /nesr-vs-hos → |
| PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | 0.6% | +1.42% | $966.6M | /pump-vs-hos → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.29B | $30.8M | $136.7M | $136.7M | $2.62B | $298.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.36B | $55.6M | $186.0M | $186.0M | $2.60B | $306.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.29B | -$10.8M | $152.5M | $152.5M | — | — |
3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $7.18 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?
Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HOS last traded at $7.18 (+1.27% on volume of 2,769,936 shares), positioning the stock -12.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.24) and -20.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($6.46 to $7.90).
HOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HOS stock moving today?
Why HOS Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 12% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 52x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.