Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10% Move

$7.18 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.60B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (9)Macro (18)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$12 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE HOS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$7.47-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$6.85+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$7.10+1.1% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$7.18+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, HOS faces multiple-compression risk if 51.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.24) or 200D SMA ($9.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.31) toward Bear Floor ($5.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10% Swing Band

±$0.72 Expected Swing
$6.46 (-10%)Spot $7.18$7.90 (+10%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HOS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $0.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.9%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.29B$30.8M$136.7M12.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.36B$55.6M$186.0M16.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.29B-$10.8M$152.5M12.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating HOS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on HOS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $7.11H $7.18L $6.97C $7.18VOL 2.35M
RES: $11.44SUP: $5.99SMA50: $8.24SMA200: $9.05
$11.47$10.06$8.65$7.23$5.82RES $11.44SUP $5.99$7.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. NESR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with HOS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOS ACTIVE
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
C 62/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% +1.27% $1.60B Benchmark Subject
RES
RPC Inc.
D 51/100 44.1x — 4.0% -5.20% $1.41B /res-vs-hos →
XPRO
Expro Ltd
D 49/100 — — — -1.48% $1.97B /xpro-vs-hos →
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp
C 63/100 42.3x 12.4% 7.5% -1.43% $2.16B /nesr-vs-hos →
PUMP
ProPetro Holding Corp.
D 50/100 — — 0.6% +1.42% $966.6M /pump-vs-hos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $30.8M $136.7M $136.7M $2.62B $298.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $55.6M $186.0M $186.0M $2.60B $306.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.29B -$10.8M $152.5M $152.5M — —

3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $7.18 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOS last traded at $7.18 (+1.27% on volume of 2,769,936 shares), positioning the stock -12.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.24) and -20.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($6.46 to $7.90).

HOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HOS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HOS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10% event move for HOS, spanning a range between $6.46 and $7.9.

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