RES (56) XPRO (57) NESR (52) PUMP (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.18 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HOS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $7.18 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

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Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$7.38-7.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.83+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.99+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.18-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOS currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.18) and Max Pain ($7.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

44.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.95>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE21% OF RANGE

L: $6$7.18H: $11

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on HOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

3.5% ROIC with 12.3% gross margin and 8.57% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 1.95 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (47)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HOS

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOS)

✓Walkthrough of HOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $7.09H $7.18L $7.09C $7.18VOL 2.77M

RES: $11.43SUP: $5.95SMA50: $8.18SMA200: $9.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOS Butterfly Map → + Track HOS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)

Energy Rank #150 of 211 ⚔️ RES vs HOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #150 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. XPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with HOS at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HOS ACTIVE Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.	D	47/100	51.7x	12.3%	3.5%	+1.27%	$1.60B	Benchmark Subject
RES RPC Inc.	D+	56/100	44.1x	—	4.0%	-5.20%	$1.41B	/res-vs-hos →
XPRO Expro Ltd	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-1.48%	$1.97B	/xpro-vs-hos →
NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp	D+	52/100	42.3x	12.4%	7.5%	-1.43%	$2.16B	/nesr-vs-hos →
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp.	D-	43/100	—	—	0.6%	+1.42%	$966.6M	/pump-vs-hos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	$30.8M	$136.7M	$136.7M	$2.62B	$298.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.36B	$55.6M	$186.0M	$186.0M	$2.60B	$306.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.29B	-$10.8M	$152.5M	$152.5M	—	—

3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOS last traded at $7.18 (+1.27% on volume of 2,769,936 shares), positioning the stock -12.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.18) and -20.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($6.49 to $7.87).

HOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HOS stock right now?

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 47/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 52x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HOS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HOS's 12-month base price target is $6.82 (range $5.32 to $11.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HOS RQD Cockpit HOS 12M Forecast HOS Earnings & Move HOS Dividends & DRIP HOS Insiders & 13F HOS Whale Options HOS Profit Sankey HOS News & Why