RES (51) XPRO (49) NESR (63) PUMP (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.18 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.18 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$7.47-8.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$6.85+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$7.10+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$7.18+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, HOS faces multiple-compression risk if 51.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.24) or 200D SMA ($9.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.31) toward Bear Floor ($5.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HOS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.18: 1392.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.70

$7,939

$-2,061 (-20.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.31

$10,181

+$181 (+1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.69

$16,281

+$6,281 (+62.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$8	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$11	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HOS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $7.11H $7.18L $6.97C $7.18VOL 2.35M

RES: $11.44SUP: $5.99SMA50: $8.24SMA200: $9.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOS Butterfly Map → + Track HOS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)

Energy Rank #89 of 211 ⚔️ RES vs HOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. NESR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with HOS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HOS ACTIVE Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.	C	62/100	51.7x	12.3%	3.5%	+1.27%	$1.60B	Benchmark Subject
RES RPC Inc.	D	51/100	44.1x	—	4.0%	-5.20%	$1.41B	/res-vs-hos →
XPRO Expro Ltd	D	49/100	—	—	—	-1.48%	$1.97B	/xpro-vs-hos →
NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp	C	63/100	42.3x	12.4%	7.5%	-1.43%	$2.16B	/nesr-vs-hos →
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	0.6%	+1.42%	$966.6M	/pump-vs-hos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	$30.8M	$136.7M	$136.7M	$2.62B	$298.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.36B	$55.6M	$186.0M	$186.0M	$2.60B	$306.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.29B	-$10.8M	$152.5M	$152.5M	—	—

3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $7.18 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOS last traded at $7.18 (+1.27% on volume of 2,769,936 shares), positioning the stock -12.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.24) and -20.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($6.46 to $7.90).

HOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HOS's 12-month stock price target?

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.31 (+1.8% from $7.18), with a bull-case target of $11.69 and a bear-case floor of $5.7.

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates HOS C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: HOS RQD Cockpit HOS 12M Forecast HOS Earnings & Move HOS Dividends & DRIP HOS Insiders & 13F HOS Whale Options HOS Profit Sankey HOS News & Why